CITIC Jiantou: The Matthew effect of the property insurance industry is expected to be further highlighted. CITIC Jiantou said that the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau recently issued the Action Plan on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, Promoting Reform and Promoting the High-quality Development of the Property Insurance Industry. In terms of comprehensive supervision and strict supervision, the Action Plan proposes to improve the quality and effectiveness of property insurance supervision from strengthening market access and exit supervision, promoting hierarchical and classified supervision, strictly rectifying illegal activities, and improving prudential supervision system and rules. In terms of effectively preventing and resolving risks, the Action Plan proposes to enhance the ability of risk prevention and resolution of the property insurance industry by enhancing the ability of capital replenishment and improving the monitoring and early warning system, and proposes to encourage mergers and acquisitions of property insurance companies. Deepen reform and promote opening up, and propose to guide property insurance institutions to position their development, accelerate business transformation and upgrading, enhance risk management capabilities, and promote high-level opening up. On the whole, the Action Plan will help to prevent and resolve risks in the property insurance industry, lay a foundation and provide guidance for the high-quality development of the industry, and the Matthew effect of the industry is expected to be further highlighted.Guotai Junan: The rise of leading enterprises and the downward shift of costs are important features of the steel industry entering a new cycle. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that with the change of demand structure, the demand for plates has steadily increased, and the demand for high-end plates such as automobiles, household appliances, shipbuilding, offshore engineering and energy is strong. The added value and profit per ton of products brought by leading companies' active adjustment of product structure, accumulation of products, R&D drive, continuous capital expenditure and equipment investment have been significantly improved, gradually widening the gap with the industry average gross profit. When the industry is facing the marginal losses of most steel enterprises, leading companies still maintain a high profit level by relying on the cost advantages brought by product differences and management, and the rise and differentiation of industry leaders are emerging. On the other hand, with the gradual increase in the supply side and the difficulty in improving the demand side, iron ore has gradually entered a loose cycle, and the steel cost constraints are expected to gradually improve.Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.
Warner Bros. Discovery will be reorganized into two major departments. Warner Bros. Discovery said that it will be reorganized into two operating departments, one focusing on traditional cable TV business and the other focusing on streaming media and studios, which may pave the way for the company's future transactions. Warner Bros. Exploration said that it will merge its current Max and Discovery+ streaming media services and HBO departments with another department including Warner Bros.' film and television production business.Thirteen companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, among which Green Energy Huichong and Ruike had the highest amount of laser repurchase plans. On December 13th, a total of 13 companies issued announcements on stock repurchase. Among them, two companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, four companies disclosed the progress of the implementation of stock repurchase, and seven companies have completed the implementation of the repurchase plan. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, Green Energy Huichong and Ruike Laser have the highest amount of repurchase plans, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 1.115 million yuan and 487,900 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Yuanli Technology, Jiuli Special Materials and Jack have the highest share repurchase amounts, with 33.1077 million yuan, 30.9807 million yuan and 3.2323 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, a total of one company repurchased more than 10 million on that day. Aerospace Rainbow, Aerospace Rainbow and Guanshi Technology have completed the highest repurchase amount, with 33.2989 million yuan, 2.479 million yuan and 2.1642 million yuan respectively.The UN Secretary-General is deeply concerned about the extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty. On the 12th, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through spokesman Dujaric, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty and territorial integrity, especially the hundreds of Israeli air strikes against Syria. The statement said that the Disengagement of Forces Agreement signed in 1974 is still valid. Guterres condemned all violations of the agreement and called on all parties to fulfill their relevant obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the isolation zone and avoiding any actions that undermine the ceasefire and stability in the Golan Heights. (Xinhua News Agency)
CITIC Securities: It is expected that the scale of personal pension will grow steadily. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 12, 2024, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of Personal Pension System, and the personal pension system will be promoted to the whole country on December 15, with emphasis on product supply and collection conditions optimized. In terms of individual pension funds, 85 index funds were added. At present, the total number of personal pension products is 941, and the performance of most products is relatively stable. The personal pension system shoulders the important mission of perfecting the multi-level and multi-pillar pension insurance system and doing a good job in pension finance. It is expected that with the continuous optimization of system design, continuous enrichment of product supply and continuous improvement of service level, the scale of personal pension is expected to grow steadily, which will also help to better play the wealth management function of the capital market and build a sound policy system of "long money and long investment".CITIC Jiantou: With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. According to CITIC Jiantou Research Report, since September, heavy meetings have continuously released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, and policies such as lowering the standard, reducing interest rates, lowering the mortgage interest rate, supporting local governments to resolve government affairs risks, issuing special government bonds to supplement core Tier 1 capital, using various tools to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and increasing support and guarantee for key groups have been released one after another. Focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) Combined with the catering channels that are recovering continuously, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations. At the same time, the current market price of molasses has further dropped from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity. 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.The central bank is in charge of the Financial Times: A more active and promising macro policy is to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. The front page of the Central Bank's Financial Times commented that the Central Economic Work Conference clearly stated that it is necessary to "implement a more active and promising macro policy". A more active macro policy is to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. The change of monetary policy is always closely related to a country's macroeconomic situation. Since the monetary policy was set as "stable" in 2011, the monetary policy stance has changed to "moderately loose" again after many years. This decision not only marks the flexible response and active adjustment of China's economic policy in the face of the current complex economic situation at home and abroad, but also reflects the management's profound insight and precise policy on market demand, downward pressure on the economy and deflation risk.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14